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Thursday, November 8, 2012

Coaching Advice For The Defeated


It's been an interesting day or so since the announcement that President Barack Obama was re-elected for his second term.

To start with, we've received some great praise from readers like you, both in writing and verbally, for our work guiding you and others through the tumultuous election period. We're proud that we can make you laugh with Paul's cartoons, while guiding you to the sage advice of our friends and media colleagues, like Nate Silver and his team at FiveThirtyEight. We are immensely humbled by your words of praise, and are even more motivated to deliver to you the best journalism that we can.

Motivating people to improve is a key ability of those in self-sacrificing jobs like politician or coach. The best coaches and politicians are usually those individuals who aren't in it for their own selfish benefit, and who aren't blinded by their own propaganda telling them how great they are.

For our friends in the Republican Party, they found that out the hard way on Tuesday night - so we've got a few important pieces of advice they may want to pay attention to, if they don't want their political party to become the next relic of history.

Our first nugget of wisdom is to look at the calendar. This is 2012, a dozen years into the 21st century. As writer Ta-Nehisi Coates pointedly noted this week, this isn't 1968 - the hippies punch back now. As conservative writer Ross Douthat admitted in a similar if stunned fashion, the age of Reagan is now officially over.

Other than rich old, white men - and those white men who think that "someday" they'll be rich too - the Republican Party has driven everyone else away. That group of 'everyone else' includes women, gays and lesbians, minorities including blacks and latinos, and the working class - who all had a pretty incredible night on Tuesday.

If Republicans continue to focus on satisfying rich, old, extremist conservative white, men, they will be extinct as a political party in another dozen years. As Meghan McCain said again on Wednesday, the Republican Party must change or die.

The second big piece of advice we have to give to our friends on the right is that it's time to get rid of the right-wing media echo chamber.

On election night, the propaganda network that poses as news, Fox, had a complete meltdown. Karl Rove, the man once touted as George W. Bush's political brain literally could not face the facts of the election as they were being presented to him. Many of the other members of the Fox election team seemed to be having similar problems with reality. In short, the Republicans on Fox believed their own propaganda - and got humiliated with the facts. Conservative radio on the day after the election wasn't much better.

You cannot win the long-term political war by simply screaming louder, or simply throwing more money at the problem without actually changing your approach to it. If anything, the 2012 election proved that.

Our final piece of advice to those on the political right is a simple reality check, though nothing like the walloping Republicans received this year: If you're in the Republican Party, it's long past time for you to clean house.

We have said for years that not all Republicans are bad, just as all Democrats and Independents aren't good. There are bad Republicans though, and they have been leading your party. They are the kind of people sports coaches call "juicers." They get amped up on their own fake substances, lie to themselves, lie to everyone else, and do flashy things for a short time.

They are also the kinds of players who burn out easy - and get blown out of the game forever, when they're finally caught.

Take the advice we've offered here, Republicans: It's time you looked forward too.

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Heavenly Outcome, For Some


Today, for the first time in almost a year-and-a-half, the business of politicking, for the most part, is done - at least for a little while. President Obama won his second term, soundly - and we are very grateful for that.

We're also grateful for these things: No more political rallies. No more campaign stops. No more robocalls, or calls from politicians and their surrogates. No more political ads in your newspaper, or on your television, radio, or online either - which we know is the one thing that all Americans, from every political background can agree on. The sound of no more political ads is, frankly, heavenly to all of us.

The final results last night were also heavenly to our staff, in the Presidential race, and in House and Senate races in many places across the country. Tea Party favorites fell like diseased trees in a storm. Some of the candidates we preferred didn't win - like Bob Kerrey. Sadly, the blind, stupid partisans in rural Nebraska continued to vote against their own best interests. At least the people in rural Indiana and rural Missouri showed more sense, voting in Joe Donnelly and returning Claire McCaskill to Congress, as they rejected the misogynists Richard Mourdock and Todd Akin.

Most of our favorite candidates and issues did win last night, and we were not all that much surprised.

That wasn't because of the exit polls. We weren't watching them much last night, as exit polls have a notorious history of inaccurately reflecting final results. Instead, on some sage advice from Nate Silver, we watched specific counties that votes were coming in from, in each state, and in what numbers.

As the results continued piling up, in state by state, it become increasingly clear that the state polls taken from before the election were matching the outcomes that were officially being released. What's more, poll aggregators like Nate Silver and his team at FiveThirtyEight.com appear to have been more accurate than most of the aggregators - which is the main reason we've relied on Nate's wisdom and insight for more than four years now.

Some of our favorite ballot measures also won in different places across the nation. In all four states where marriage equality issues were on the ballot - Maine, Maryland, Minnesota, and Washington - the people overwhelmingly voted in favor of the idea of letting Americans have the legal right to be with whomever they want. Many of our gay friends are now legally equal to every other American, as they should be - and we're already planning to attend a few of their weddings next spring.

In Colorado and Washington state, the use of recreational marijuana is now legal, as we believe it always should have been. While none of our staff currently uses the substance, we see no reason that its responsible use should be treated any differently from prescription drugs or in a similar fashion to alcohol. Marijuana can also be taxed now - and we hope Coloradans and Washingtonians are smart enough to do just that.

The overall story of the election may seem like an oversimplification - one we're certain that many in the political media will be hashing over the rest of the week - but it actually broke down very simply. In short, if you were already rich, white, old, male, and conservative, you probably voted for Romney and the Republicans. Virtually everyone else voted for President Obama and the Democratic candidates, to some degree.

This shouldn't surprise anyone either. While the Republicans did keep control of the House, the Democrats kept - and strengthened - their control of the Senate. In both the House and Senate, Democrats broadened the demographic nature of their coalition. In fact, this is now the first time in history that the House Democratic caucus has white males as a minority.

Our nation is maturing, changing, and growing. The future of America is as a melting pot - as it's always been. That at least one of our two major political parties continues to embrace this most fundamentally American idea remains music to our ears.

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

The Most Important Decision Ever


In the United States, today is officially Election Day 2012.

All the debates, all the commercials, all the campaign stops, the robocalls, the campaign visitors, and sadly the ugly voter suppression - all of that has led up to today. We can't vote for you, nor can we force you to vote one way or another, though we do have some recommendations, as always based on facts.

Our first recommendation is simple: Vote.

If you have to stand in line for hours? Stand in line - and vote. Bring a collapsable chair, if you want. Some voters in Florida waited until 2:30 AM on Monday to vote - and they began waiting on Sunday afternoon. Millions of Americans have fought, marched, and died for your right to vote, on battlefields around the world - and on the streets of American cities like Selma, Montgomery, and Seneca Falls. Don't make their sacrifices a waste.

Our second recommendation is not to vote for any candidate that supports making the exercise of your constitutional right to vote a task of herculean proportions. Frankly, we have no idea why anyone would vote for any candidate that has as the core of its modern philosophy, the idea that they do not want everyone to vote. That is - literally - the philosophy of the modern Republican Party, as voiced by the founder of the extremist wing of the GOP, Paul Weyrich. If a political party led by extremists like that will try to limit citizens' basic constitutional rights, history says there's likely no end to their crazy ambition.

Our candidate recommendations this year are simple - and no, we don't think you should just vote Democratic. Not all Republicans are like the crazy Mr. Weyrich. We simply want you to vote for the best candidates.

As President, Barack Obama has done an incredible job in the face of the intractable and disastrous Republicans in Congress - especially when we look at the economic and foreign policy disaster that was handed to him. President Obama is, in the opinion of our entire staff, the only HONEST and logical choice for President, a man who has proven he will always try to find common ground, and will do what is right - especially when doing so is hard.

Along the same lines, for U.S. Senate from Nebraska, we choose Bob Kerrey. Yes, he is a conservative Democrat, one of the last in existence in professional politics. He is also honest to a fault sometimes. It is the Kerrey standard that is so often referred to when Americans long for bipartisanship, the idea Mr. Kerrey became known for the first time he was in the U.S. Senate. His idea is often repeated in political circles, that if you're angering people on both sides of the aisle, you must be doing something right - but you're also probably getting something done.

Our other candidate recommendations follow directly from the idea of moving forward. From Bill Nelson and Patrick Murphy in Florida, to Wayne Powell and Tim Kaine in Virginia, to Bob Kerrey, John Ewing, and Jeff Fortenberry in Nebraska. While we do not love each of these candidates, one thread is common among all of them - they can work together and when pushed, they do not side with radicals. Even Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who told Grover Norquist to shove his "no tax pledge" is someone who we think can help drive our nation in the right direction.

We have one last recommendation, today.

While it's true that nearly all of the legitimate polls are strongly favoring most of our candidates and positions, in referendums and races across the nation, this isn't just another election. We are in firm disagreement with some of our colleagues in the greater media about what might happen, after today. If any candidate is allowed to take office through an illegitimate win, much as we had in 2000 when the Supreme Court picked the winner, we are not sure of either the future of U.S. elections, or possibly even the nation.

This is a big deal. So… don't let your opportunity go to waste today.

Make your voice count. Vote. Now.